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  • Julia Dakin

    February 26, 2023 at 10:21 pm

    There is a formula for how fast a population can change:

    Genetic diversity of starting population


    intensity of selection pressure


    size of population.

    However, the intensity factor has something like a bell curve– if you get too intense without a big enough population size, you’ll lose genetic diversity and set things back.

    High diversity + intense selection + large population = fast adaptation (2-3 years?)

    That’s from a book called Darwinian agriculture, I adapted it somewhat into a formula. So the answer would on specific circumstances. BUT this is a probably too simplistic… factor in endophytes, specific conditions etc etc, that is one of those ‘wicked problems’. There is a group of people talking about things like this you might enjoy..